Archive for Science

TAM8 – First Thoughts

Downstairs the clink and bings of a thousand slot machines remind you that you’re in Las Vegas, but upstairs in the conference center there is a feel of enthusiasm at a day filled with science, reason, rationalism and yes, skepticism.  I’m at the James Randi Educational Foundation’s “The Amazing Meeting 8” – more commonly known as TAM.  This is the eighth year that the venerable Randi’s foundation has pulled together some of the leading figures in the world of fact-based thinking and put them in a venue where they can mingle and communicate with the everyday people who are trying to make the world a more reasonable place.

The official TAM8 Banner

This year the keynote speaker is Richard Dawkins, author of The Greatest Show on Earth, The Blind Watchmaker, The Ancestor’s Tale, as well as the book that branded him as one of the four-horsemen of “The New Atheists” movement, The God Delusion.  Dawkins did a Q&A sessions last night moderated by magician Jamie Ian Swiss.  I expect he’ll have much more to say, but he has a kind of nerd Rock Star reception around here. It’s impressive to see.
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Oh, really, Mr. O’Rahilly?

High Res copy of original Wem Town Hall photo - courtesy Fortean Picture Library

The Wem Town Hall Ghost photo - courtesy Fortean Picture Library

In September of 2009 I started an investigation into the Wem Town Hall ghost photo.  This famous photo shows a ghostly girl in the burning wreckage of a fire that took place in the Town Hall of the British town of Wem on November 19, 1995.  The photographer was a man named Tony O’Rahilly and he took several photos of the fire that night.  The last photo on the reel showed a girls face in the doorway of the blazing fire and the photo caught the imagination of many.  Was this girl really in the building?  Fire fighter footage of the same fire showed no such girl.  No body was found, and many speculated that this was a ghost.  Paranormal researchers even came up with a name for the girl, calling her Jane Churm after a little girl who started a fire in Wem back in 1677.

For fifteen years the photo was a mystery which made many top-10 ghost lists.   But now an elderly man in England has identified the source of the ghost girl’s image and brought closure to this case.  Read on past the break to get a history of the case and see the solution.

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The Media Otter Know Better

[Update - May 31, 2010 - I heard back from leading Otter expert Dr. Hans Kruuk and here's what he had to say re: the identity of the animal in these photos:

Looking at the size of the hairs in relation to body, I'd say something like mink, agreeing with your identification. Otters also have a thin layer of very dense, dark grey under-fur, and in the picture I can see no sign of that.

If you take that observation and combine it with the findings of Dr. James Patton quoted over at Forgetomori.com:

“[The] mystery critter looks more like a mink than an otter to me (longer fingers, without any evidence of webbing).  It clearly was dead in the water for a prolonged period, hence the defurred face and head, and somewhat swollen appearance”, wrote Patton.

I think we have all the expert evidence converging on Mink as the identity of the mystery corpse of Canada.  However you don’t need to be an expert to know that a rotting dead animal, while monstrously odiferous, doesn’t have to be a monster in fact.]

They say what’s old is new.  Lately the cryptozoology world has been awash (pardon) with creatures found on beaches or near water.  These critters all share some common features.  First, they’re dead.  Second, they’re either hairless or nearly hairless.  Third, they’re photographed and the odd pictures are shared on the Internet.  Then the speculation storm washes all around us.

This is not new, mind.  The history of dead things washed up on shore is long and disgusting.  From a dead shark posing as a plesiosaur to a dead raccoon posing as a mutant experiment these photos apparently capture the imagination of viewers, and that’s all it takes to make good news copy.

This week’s corpse-célèbre washed up near the town of Kitchenuhmaykoosib Ontario and was discovered by a couple of  nurses who photographed it and then shared the photos.  The animal is said to be less than a foot long, with a rat-like tail.

Canadian Mustelid Corpse - Top View

Canadian Mustelid Corpse - Top View

(Read on to find the solution!)
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A tail of two kitties

Just before Easter I wrote on the state of the Catholic church and proposed that if change were to come to the church it would not be from outside forces railing against the institution for its policies, but from internal forces of reform inside the church.  Then on April 11, 2009 The Sunday Times (A British newspaper) published an article about uber-atheist Richard Dawkins’ plan to use legal means to arrest the pope if he sets foot in Britain, with an absurd headline claiming that Dawkins himself planned to make the arrest.  The headline was attention-grabbing, but made the whole thing look like a crazy publicity stunt, when in fact it could be a very serious legal challenge to the church if properly executed.

While the stunt itself, if stunt it be, got some attention on the news, two big rationalist movements (the skeptics and the atheists) went at it again.  Getting these groups to fight is like getting a puppy to chew a shoe.  Back during the Bill Maher Dawkins-Award kerfuffle I considered the Venn diagram of the overlap between Skeptics and Atheists.

A Venn diagram uses overlapping circles to graphically demonstrate sets.  In the case of skeptics and atheists, there we might have a large population of people who belong to both groups.  But there are many theist skeptics.  And there are many atheists who derive their non-belief through reactionary rejection of religion, rather than by the route of philosophical or rational inquiry.To be fair, there are also many people who use skepticism as a tool box for evaluating the world, but who do not identify as “skeptics.”

A Venn D-Cell Diagram

A Venn D-Cell Diagram

Empowered by the unhindered freedom to say anything, impassioned Internet activists from both communities frequently opine on the best way to move their agendas forward.  Sadly this usually doesn’t end up with thoughtful, rational, coffee-shop style philosophy discussions.  Instead it seems to be a jarring mix of rational discourse and irrational admonishments to self-intercourse.


Take the case of the Dawkins “arrest the pope” movement which I described above.  Rebecca Watson, notable skeptic of the Skepchick blog and Skeptics Guide to the Universe podcast, came out strongly in favor of arresting the Pope.  It is perfectly acceptable to opine on social issues – and is what many might say a blog is for.  However she also had harsh criticism for those who argued that it is not the place of “the skeptic movement” to take sides on such matters.  Keep in mind they weren’t arguing that she shouldn’t opine on such matters, but that the skeptics movement as a whole should not get embroiled in politics and religion.  Other notable skeptics and atheists (PZ Myers, Daniel Loxton, Jim Lippard, et al) commented on the matter with similar results outcome from the feedback.  I mention Ms. Watson’s comments in particular because they affected my personal net chatter the most – but no matter which way skeptical bloggers chose to speak out on the issues – the comments kicked off by such discussion seemed to turn raw and bloody as though the only way to reach consensus is to crawl bare-kneed across glass.


And the F-bombs did rain down upon the Internet, and many feelings were hurt, and the twitter did fail-whale and the Facebook comments did require much scrolling.

And I wondered if that Venn diagram might be better illustrated with two angry cats with tails tied together, the tails representing the overlap between the two modalities.

Can you spot the accommodationist?

Can you spot the accommodationist?

Should the skeptics movement be involved in questions like the “Put the Pope in the Pokey” controversy?


It’s a trick question.  We’ve wasted time arguing over a ridiculous false dichotomy; the equivalent of the classic “Do you still beat your wife?

There is no single proof of membership for people who self-describe as skeptics.  Anybody can say they’re a skeptic – and many do.  The sailor who listens to SGU, the policeman who subscribes to Skeptical Inquirer, the construction worker who argues that a metal detector is better than a dowsing rod for finding buried cable, the cowboy who tells his friends that predators are responsible for cattle-mutilations, the biker who researches crash data to determine the efficacy of helmet laws, the native American who embraces science based medicine while still finding ways to preserve traditional culture – these people are all part of our skeptical village.  These are our skeptical village people.

It is foolish to think that all of our village people will jump up and take the “right side” in questions involving politics and religion.  And it is foolish to think that skepticism or atheism should have single views on such questions.

Simultaneously, it is foolish to think we could possibly not have opinions on such questions.  We’re humans.  We may try to play dispassionate Vulcan, but we aren’t.  The pon farr always lies just under our skin, ready to make us fight our friend.
But what about the hard-liner new atheists?  The ones who have no place for religion?  Who call skeptics who want to co-exist with believers accommodationists?

What if we try to be dispassionate and look at the science and math of the question?  What percentage of people have faith and religion as part of their lives?  One can only guess, but the answer is more than 50%.  That’s a lot of people with many different beliefs.

And what does science tell us about beliefs, confirmation bias, people’s inability to process disconfirming evidence, etc?  It tells us many things, but one is that attacks against beliefs don’t usually change the believers position.  In fact, they tend to make the believer more recalcitrant.  If the goal of the atheists is to change people’s belief system, direct attacks on the beliefs and the group’s leadership are unlikely to succeed.

That’s why my personal position is to fight for a strong secular government that gives equal protection to those who want to worship god(s) and those who want to worship nothing.  But no matter how rational I think that position is, I wouldn’t ask the skeptic’s movement to rise up and back it, nor would I suggest they self-fornicate if they disagree.  It is for each person to decide how they want to handle religion and politics.


We need to foster civility in our intergroup discourse because that passion so many of us have for these topics is wasted when we burn it up fighting with people who are often our best allies.  And we need to find ways to be constructive when dealing with ideological enemies because if we just try to shout down their walls and blow our trumpets – well, it’d take a miracle for that to work.

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Yet another hairless cryptid?

I woke this morning to a Twitter discussion about the new photos of an alleged Yeti.  The Telegraph, the UK news outlet, was reporting the finding.  They were swamped with traffic so I had to google around and find another less trafficked site to get the photo.  Boy was I disappointed.

This is not the giant man-shaped hairy monster of the Himalayas.  It doesn’t look like an animal capable of walking on two legs.  In short, it appears to be  some kind of hairless quadruped mammal.

Seriously?  This is supposed to be a Yeti?

Seriously? This is supposed to be a Yeti?

To figure out what it was, I did a search on “Chinese Mammals ” and then started scanning the image files.

The first set of images that came back included this helpful picture:

Viverridae - includes the civet-cat.

Viverridae - includes the civet-cat.

I’m not a biologist, and pesky old Mr. Evolution makes it tricky to identify a specific mammal when the creature is hairless, since hair coloration is one of the ways we identify animals.  But even though I’m not an expert, I see enough similarity to strongly suggest that the thing in the cage is likely a mange afflicted animal from the family Viverridae.   I posted that conclusion to Twitter.

As cryptid enthusiasts from the states wake up, I expect they’ll endorse the same conclusion.  Loren Coleman at cryptomundo already came to the same finding.

I am normally very polite about how people interpret the things they find in the world.  However, this “news story” isn’t the work of cryptozoologists – it is the work of cryptidiots.

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Anti-vaxxers in our own backyard

Like most of you, I’ve heard and read about the anti-vaxers. I don’t want to beat this dead horse, but I did want to share my recent experience. I’d never heard the dark side first hand…until now. I found out about an information session at a “clinic” that treats autism and various other children’s neurological issues. The clinic is only about 3 miles from my house so I said “Why not? It’ll get me out of the house for a while.” The woman (I will call her Ms. Information) who runs the clinic is an RN from South Africa. Her office had wall to wall shelving full of homeopathic bottles. Other services offered include “bioenergetic assessment,” “neurointegration therapy,” and “craniosacral therapy.” These are just big, fancy words that mean “crap that doesn’t work, but you still have to pay me.” I should mention that she does recommend legitimate neurotherapy in addition to all the other expensive unscientific treatments. » Continue reading “Anti-vaxxers in our own backyard”

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